"The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?"

by Frey, Carl Benedikt; Osborne, Michael A (2017)

Abstract

We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupations probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment.

Keywords

Occupational Choice, Technological Change, Wage Inequality, Employment, Skill Demand, Future Of Work

Themes

Future of Work

Links to Reference

• http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516302244
• http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.019
• https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516302244

Citation

Share

How to contribute.